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"An Approach to Successful Stock Trading Combining Company
  Fundamentals with Chart Technicals"

Comments or Questions (TSM Service, Methodology, Performance or Your Success Stories) - rwmill@yahoo.com


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Topics:   Trades, Market Health, Trading Strategies

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TSM Method: Bull Put Spreads for Stocks from Companies with Quality Fundamentals

Bull Put Spread Trading Results from first 10.5 weeks of 2026

Bull Put Spread Modeling Using Trading Factors Obtained from Above Trades

Stock price movement over time depends on one thing: company earnings. Over the short term, the most important factor is earnings revisions. The TSM site is unique in that we identify stocks with good historical and future fundamentals with value remaining in their price. Then we look for technical trading signals to enter a position.

The TSM approach to stock and option trading combines these quality company fundamentals with forward earnings-revision fuel (Zacks and Navellier rankings) and with remaining value (PEG ratios and 3-month Target prices). Trade entry is then based on highly probable technical patterns (primarily multi-day pullbacks, but also breakouts in a bullish market). Thirty-plus years of using this approach for thousands of trades document the validity of the TSM approach.

TSM's daily picks are developed from ~50 high-quality stocks identified weekly chosen from a series of 25 fundamental screens.  Most days several of these TSM stocks are traded using credit spreads: Bull Put Spreads, Bear Call Spreads, and Iron Condors.  Additionally, stocks going ex-dividend the next day (most not TSM stocks) are identified, their fundamentals assessed, and their historic price recoveries identified via AI analysis of their past 8 ex-dividend dates. An example of the last is shown for SWBI for its 3/19/26 ex-dividend date: 3,000 shares were purchased, a Covered Call was written, then two days later the shares were called away (profit $900). Further, I trade TSM stocks buying deep in-the-money Calls (30-45 days out at delta ~0.9), then write weekly Covered Calls against the long Call at delta ~0.3.

Information Groupings in Daily TSM Report Page

Important links including an Excel page housing all the TSM fundamentals...  A list of the TSM stocks I'm trading for the week... A complete list of all the TSM stocks in the Excel download and its 'Best of Best' earnings revision subgroup... TSM Excel List... & Best of Best Subset...  Institutional interest in TSM stocks as measured by the number of Leap option contracts...  Pre-market TSM stock trading... TSM Vector Vest measures by VST (vlaue, safety, and timing)...  Best Vector Vest stocks by VST, not necessarily TSM stocks...  Navellier Ranking for those Vector Vest stocks...  and their pre-market trading...  Market Health and hedging Measures...  Fundamentals for those quality companies (Navellier grades) going ex-dividend tomorrow along with historic times for price recovery...  Independent Measures of market health...  Where we stand in the Business Cycle...  Sector Performance over multiple time frames...   and their charts...   Market Health: VIX cycle... Point & Figure Bullish %..  Market Breadth...  ViX and RSI Performance...  Sector Performance Momentum (daily & weekly)...    SPY's Point & Figure...  Last Day's Actual Trades...  Number 1 Zacks Rank plus Navelier A/B Rank to begin the week...  TSM Stock Performance and Charts...    Trading Lessons & Market Comments...  TSM Stocks going Ex-Dividend or Reporting Earnings over next month...  Insider Buying for TSM stocks over past month or in general over past two weeks...  Stocks with poor fundamentals that might be shorted...  Hedging Candidates both Inverse ETFs and the ViX hedge...    Option Strategy Potential Trades for TSM stocks:  Bull Put Spreads...  Iron Condors...  Long Calls...