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TripleScreenMethod.com
Seasonal
Trends in Sector and TSM Stock Performance
Richard
W. Miller, Ph.D.
Over the past five years, only the
Energy and the Tobacco sectors have consistently produced a
positive return through the Dec/Jan period.
The following 19 stocks (TSM screens 12/23/06), however, have had
positive returns over the past three Januarys.
While past performance gives no guarantee that this
group will continue to perform this January, there may
well be reasons (fundamentals coupled with sector or
market cap reasons) to expect continued performance. I
routinely look at this group, as well as those TSM
stocks that meet a combination of at least three
fundamental screens and the Zacks screen, for technical
patterns to trade short term. Short-term trading
improves when there are fundamental reasons for
Institutional accumulation as well. It puts the
wind at your back.
The following list
of TSM stocks met our screen criteria
on 12/22/06. The 2007 results are
through 1/31/07.
|
Stocks from TSM Screens with 3-Years Positive
January Returns |
|
Through 1/31/07 |
Business Sector |
# Fund/ Zacks Screens |
2004 (%) |
2005 (%) |
2006 (%) |
2007
(%) |
Total 3-Yr Return (%) |
|
|
12 Up & 7 Down / Overall +35.56% |
|
NTRI |
Diversified Services |
0/1 |
10.5 |
28.1 |
35.76 |
-30.51 |
74.36 |
|
EZPW |
Financial Services |
2/0 |
15.5 |
23.7 |
34.2 |
+2.95 |
73.4 |
|
DRQ |
Energy |
0/1 |
16 |
18.6 |
33.4 |
-5.01 |
68 |
|
VTS |
Energy |
1/1 |
21.2 |
11.5 |
27 |
-2.69 |
59.7 |
|
PCR |
Materials & Construction |
0/1 |
37.8 |
3.5 |
14 |
-1.82 |
55.3 |
|
TDW |
Transportation |
0/1 |
7.3 |
8.9 |
31.4 |
+6.64 |
47.6 |
|
SLB |
Energy |
0/1 |
11.8 |
1.6 |
31.2 |
+0.52 |
44.6 |
|
GES |
Specialty Retail |
3/1 |
9.5 |
13.2 |
19.2 |
+13.68 |
41.9 |
|
AEOS |
Specialty Retail |
3/0 |
13.5 |
7.8 |
17.4 |
+3.75 |
38.7 |
|
VDSI |
Computer Software |
1/1 |
5.6 |
17.7 |
11 |
+24.05 |
34.3 |
|
OII |
Energy |
3/1 |
11.2 |
2.1 |
19.3 |
-0.58 |
32.6 |
|
AVZ |
Financial Services |
0/1 |
1.5 |
7 |
19.9 |
-1.14 |
28.4 |
|
MBT |
Telecom |
2/0 |
16.9 |
3.9 |
7.1 |
+7.91 |
27.9 |
|
GMRK |
Energy |
1/1 |
2.9 |
10.2 |
10.6 |
-3.48 |
23.7 |
|
SHG |
Banking |
1/0 |
3.9 |
12.4 |
4.5 |
+0.65 |
20.8 |
|
GDI |
Manufacturing |
0/1 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
7.3 |
+3.22 |
16 |
|
TELN |
Telecom |
2/0 |
9.7 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
+8.72 |
13.5 |
|
MER |
Financial Services |
2/0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
10.8 |
+0.49 |
11.5 |
|
VIP |
Telecom |
4/1 |
2.5 |
0.2 |
5.8 |
+8.21 |
8.5 |
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# Fund/Zacks Screens = number of fundamental
screens (4 possible)/ Zacks Screen (earn
strength), all meet PEG value criteria |
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